Wednesday, May 27, 2015

MLB Game Picks - Wednesday: May 27, 2015

I did not have a bad day yesterday. The Cubs over the Nats was a brilliant pick. There were three games that went into extras and two went for me, one against. That matched my output for the day. I did not expect the Red Sox to lose again or the Astros to win again. But both did. Overall, not a bad day.
Wednesday's picks:
  • The Indians over the Rangers: This pick was wrong yesterday showing that I just don't get the Indians. Today, Carlos Carrasco is pitching and he is very good. Will that matter? What has gotten into Colby Lewis this year? Is he really this good?
  • The Reds over the Rockies: Where are the stars for the Rockies? Why are they OPSing in the 600s? So weird. Mike Leake strikes me better than Kyle Kendrick does.
  • The Pirates over the MarlinsBrad Hand is starting for the Marlins. He has appeared in relief a dozen and a half times. I never know what to do with such things. My mind is cleared up some by seeing Gerrit Cole starting for the other side.
  • The Blue Jays over the White Sox: This one sounds like a wreck in the making. Marco Estrada versus Jeff Samardzija. The latter has the bigger talent, for sure. But the Blue Jays can hit! I don't know.
  • The Yankees over the Royals: Big Chris Young goes for the Royals. Will he again bamboozle the Yankees like the last time? Will the Yankees adjust? Can Michael Pineda bounce back from a really ugly start? We'll find out together.
  • The Twins over the Red SoxPhil Hughes used to get battered by the Red Sox when he was a Yankee. But pitching at home in Minnesota should help today. Rick Porcello is up and down and hard to count on. Is David Ortiz big poopied out?
  • The Mets over the Phillies: I haven't picked a visiting team yet. Oh my. I have to go with Noah Syndergaard over Sean O'Sullivan though, right?
  • The Mariners over the RaysFelix Hernandez has never won a game at Tropicana Field. I think that changes today even though he has a tough opponent in Chris Archer.
  • The Brewers over the Giants: The Brewers have cooled off a bit and the Giants keep winning. I think that will hit a bump tonight as Ryan Vogelsong should be more to the Brewers' liking than Bumgarner was. A lot will depend on how Mike Fiers pitches.
  • The Tigers over the Athletics: There is a lot to think about in this game. Kyle Ryan has been called up to start for the Tigers. He hasn't been faring well in the minors thus far this season and he will not strike out guys. He has decent control though and most importantly, he is a lefty. The A's do not hit lefties at all. That makes me go with him over Scott Kazmir. The one caveat is that Ryan will not go deep in the game and the Tigers' bullpen is a frightening place.
  • The Astros over the Orioles: Picking against the Astros has seemed like a futile thing to do. Collin McHugh is one of my favorite young pitchers. If Ubaldo Jimenez has a good outing, things could change, but I'll go with the Astros.
  • The Nationals over the Cubs: The Cubs slowed down the Nats yesterday and Jon Lester goes today, which is the good news. The bad news is that Max Scherzer goes for the Nationals. Did you see where Bryant's homer went yesterday!? Wow.
  • The Cardinals over the DiamondbacksLance Lynn should come up big in this one and I think he will. Josh Collmenter gives the Cards a different look, but he will bend a little at least.
  • The Angels over the Padres: This pick didn't go well yesterday and neither team hit at all until the Padres broke out for four runs in extras. It might be low scoring today too as Garrett Richards faces Andrew Cashner.
And the Pick of the Day:
  • The Dodgers over the BravesZack Greinke should do what he does, which is win as a Dodger and Alex Wood should allow a couple of runs at least to give the Dodgers the edge in a close game.
Yesterday: 9-6, May: 179-156, Season: 343-321, Picks of the Day: 28-21

Tuesday, May 26, 2015

MLB Game Picks - Tuesday: May 26, 2015

Memorial Day saw the picks just climb over .500 for the day. There were a number of good picks but just as many surprises that evened out whatever success I had. The Yankees and Mets both broke out of long slumps. One was good for the picks and one was bad.  It was a fun day of baseball.
Tuesday's picks:
  • The Orioles over the Astros: I'm still not a Scott Feldman fan and Chris Tillman is starting to get his act back together. I don't think the Orioles are done by any stretch of the imagination.
  • The Yankees over the Royals: No, I'm not sold on Adam Warren. But I've never been really sold on Jason Vargas either. I think the Yankees hit big again this game.
  • The Pirates over the Marlins: Who and what is Jose Urena!? It sounds like an internal organ. He has three MLB innings thus far and no strikeouts. Color me skeptical. I'll go with Jeff Locke.
  • The Cubs over the Nationals: The Nats are due for a loss as it has been a while. And Jordan Zimmermann has been a bit shaky. Kyle Hendricks, however, is pitching real well for the Cubs.
  • The Blue Jays over the White SoxR.A. Dickey has his best knucklers at home because of the controlled environment. John Danks always seems to cough up runs.
  • The Reds over the Rockies: The Reds have to win some time and it might as well be today. Michael Lorenzen should be in the rotation full time. Jorge De La Rosa is a pretty good pitcher for the Rockies though.
  • The Mets over the Phillies: I haven't been able to pick a visiting team yet and I'm getting the willies. But Jacob deGrom should be better than Jerome Williams.
  • The Bay Rays over the Mariners: Okay, here is a visiting team pick. Phew! Alex Colome recovered nicely in his last start and I'll never, ever be a J.A. Happ fan, even if he wins ten in a row.
  • The Indians over the Rangers: As good as the Rangers are hitting right now, I think they can be stopped by Danny Salazar. He has been that good. Add that to the fact that Wandy Rodriguez isn't what he used to be and I think you have an Indians win.
  • The Red Sox over the Twins: The Red Sox will hit Mike Pelfrey. So it all depends on which Clay Buchholz shows up. I think the good one will show up in a big ballpark.
  • The Diamondbacks over the Cardinals: If Jaime Garcia is going to win, it will be at home. But I don't know if he has it in him. Frankly, I think the Cards are fed up with him. I'll go with Archie Bradley instead.
  • The Tigers over the Athletics: The A's don't hit lefties. David Price is only lefty, but he is one of the best. Jesse Chavez is not going to keep up. Now I'm going with too many visiting teams!
  • The Angels over the Padres: Albert Pujols was not amused as he picked up his game-winning single. Take that, Padres! Matt Shoemaker should be better than Odrisamer Despaigne, a name I can now type without looking!
  • The Dodgers over the BravesClayton Kershaw is always getting the best of the other team's rotation and that happens again today as he squares up with Julio Teheran. This should be a low scoring game.
And the Pick of the Day:
  • The Giants over the BrewersMadison Bumgarner is one of the best, if not the best this year. He will need to keep Ryan Braun and company inside the park, but he should be able to do that. Matt Garza goes for the Brewers.
Yesterday: 8-7, May: 170-150, Season: 334-315, Picks of the Day: 27-21

Monday, May 25, 2015

MLB Game Picks - Monday, May 25, 2015

Memorial Day, 2015. Take a moment and reflect and honor our heroes before you barbecue or enjoy the rest of the day. And thanks to the holiday, we have a full slate of Monday games for our added enjoyment.
After two really wonderful picking days on Thursday and Friday to go a combined 21-6, the last two days have been completely the opposite to the tune of 10-21. Holy cow is that a turnaround or what!? How depressing. But, I press on because that's what I do.
Monday's picks:
  • The Yankees over the Royals: Yes, I am warped and deranged and a homer. But gosh, the team has to win a game some time. You have two pitchers who don't strike anyone out and two lineups that don't strike out much. So BABIP is key. Can the Yankees take what Guthrie gives them and hit it to all fields? If they don't, they lose. Nathan Eovaldi and Jeremy Guthrie.
  • The Rockies over the Reds: The Reds are scuffling as badly as the Yankees. Jason Marquis will be adequate. He is always adequate. If Eddie Butler is better than adequate, he wins.
  • The Phillies over the MetsSeverino Gonzalez has been pretty good for the Phillies. The Mets are playing as badly as the Reds and Yankees. Do I see a pattern here? Probably. Bartolo Colon goes for the Mets and he is either great or awful. Which one will it be? The Mets and Yankees are both home. That's interesting.
  • The Astros over the Orioles: The Astros have been unbelievable. I have to roll with it until they are not. Wei-Yin Chen has lost a couple of his most recent starts and Dallas Kuechel has been amazing.
  • The Twins over the Red SoxRicky Nolasco has been good. That's so hard to believe after how bad he was last year. Joe Kelly has been a disappointment thus far for the Red Sox. Both teams have surprised. The Twins in a good way, the Red Sox not.
  • The Brewers over the GiantsTim Lincecum has had a good season so far. But his last two road starts were not good. The Brewers are somewhat hot right now. Kyle Lohse is pretty tough at home.
  • The Nationals over the CubsTsuyoshi Wada was pretty impressive in his first start of the season. He is a fly ball pitcher. So a lot will depend on which way the wind is blowing at Wrigley. Tanner Roark gets a start for the Nats. It's about time.
  • The Tigers over the AthleticsShane Greene has done well in the starting role for the Tigers. The bullpen is killing Detroit though. Jesse Hahn will probably get knocked around by the Tigers.
  • The Rangers over the Indians: The Rangers just crushed the Yankees so their offense is clicking. Will Josh Hamilton enhance that or change the dynamic and slow it down? Hmm. Phil Klein goes for the Rangers and Shaun Marcum goes for the Indians.
  • The Cardinals over the DiamondbacksCarlos Martinez goes for the Cardinals who just roll along despite some injuries. Chase Anderson goes for the Diamondbacks and he can be tough at times.
  • The Pirates over the MarlinsAndrew McCutchen is heating up and that bodes well for the Pirates. Charlie Morton doesn't thrill me though. David Phelps goes for the Marlins.
  • The Bay Rays over the Mariners: This game is a toss up. Jake Odorizzi and Roenis Elias seem about the same to me. The Rays don't hit well at home. I don't know. Pick em.
  • The Braves over the Dodgers: I'm just feeling this one. Brett Anderson goes for the Dodgers and he should be decent at home in that big ballpark. Williams Perez was really good for the Braves in his first start of the season. I'm going with the Braves in an upset of sorts.
  • The Padres over the AngelsTyson Ross has lost four of his last five decisions. But he has pitched well. The Padres can explode on offense or be dud-like. It goes from day to day. Jered Weaver somehow pitches at MLB level despite a shredded arm and 83 MPH fastball. Who knows.
And the Pick of the Day:
  • The Blue Jays over the White Sox: This seems like a mismatch, which is always frightening to say. However, Drew Hutchison should be much better than Hector Noesi, the fourth ex-Yankee pitcher starting today and the only one not having a good season.
Yesterday: 5-10, May: 162-143, Season: 326-308, Picks of the Day: 26-21

Sunday, May 24, 2015

MLB Game Picks - Sunday: May 24, 2015

As good as Friday was for picking baseball games, Saturday was just as bad on the flip side. Everything that went right on Friday went wrong on Saturday. There were three extra-inning games. They all went against me. Matt Harvey was rocked. CC Sabathia was rocked (thanks also to bad defense). The Rays and Cardinals lost pitching duels. It was a bad, bad day. Oh, and for the thousandth time, Stephen Strasburg pooched the bed for me.
But we keep on going. Sunday's picks:
  • The Blue Jays over the Mariners: Two young pitchers in this one with all kinds of talent struggling to find their way. Which one will perform? I'm going with Aaron Sanchez at home and the Jays are due to win a game. Taijuan Walker is the other young gun.
  • The Tigers over the AstrosAnibal Sanchez is really struggling. But if he can figure some things out, he can get lots of strikeouts today. Roberto Hernandez is Roberto Hernandez.
  • The Orioles over the Marlins: The Orioles might be a little upset about the pine tar thing last night. Frankly, the whole things is ridiculous since every pitcher does it. Some are just better at hiding it. Miguel Gonzalez over Tom Koehler.
  • The Indians over the RedsRaisel Iglesias isn't exactly mowing down MLB hitters and gets his second start of the season. I'd prefer to go with Trevor Bauer, which is saying something since Bauer is inconsistent at best.
  • The Angels over the Red Sox: I went back and forth on this one so it will probably be wrong. First, Wade Miley isn't as good as the Yankees made him look. Secondly, the Red Sox have trouble with left-handed pitching which is what Hector Santiago is. But, the Red Sox beat a lefty yesterday.
  • The Braves over the BrewersMike Foltynewicz was folty his last time out. But he should do better this time at home. My big problem here is that Jimmy Nelson was great his last time out against the Tigers. hmm...
  • The Mets over the Pirates: Funny how the Mets and Yankees crashed and burned at the same time. Jon Niese is still a good pitcher though and Francisco Liriano is about as reliable as a Ford Pinto.
  • The Phillies over the Nationals: The Phillies are also suspect against lefty pitchers, but Gio Gonzalez hasn't been very good thus far. And I can't pick against Aaron Harang because he kills me when I do.
  • The White Sox over the Twins: This one is a complete toss up. Jose Quintana is a quality pitcher. Kyle Gibson has his moments. I have no idea which team will win this game.
  • The Royals over the Cardinals: Whenever I pick aces lately, it doesn't work out for me. And the odds are that a pitcher who is 6-0 is going to lose some time, right Michael Wacha? I don't want him to, but...he might be bettered today by Yordano Ventura, who I don't like at all because of his demeanor.
  • The Cubs over the Diamondbacks: I just can't get myself to pick a team that pitches Jeremy HellicksonJason Hammel goes for the Cubs.
  • The Dodgers over the Padres: The Giants sweep the Dodgers. The Dodgers sweep the Padres. And baseball goes round and round. Carlos Frias, like Bolsinger, has saved the Dodgers so far. I like him over James Shields today.
  • The Rockies over the Giants: The thought of Tim Hudson at Coors is a bit frightening for me. So I'm not going there. Chad Bettis has been decent enough for the Rockies in his two starts. I'll go that way.
  • The Yankees over the Rangers: No wonder baseball fans complain about the Yankees being on national television so much. This isn't exactly a marquis match-up between these two teams right now or the two pitchers, Chris Capuano and Yovani Gallardo. But that's what the nation will get tonight. Oh goody.
And the Pick of the Day is:
  • The Athletics over the Rays: I'm going back to my guy, Sonny Gray to take the A's over the Rays, all of which rhymes of course. You don't want to expose Erasmo Ramirez for too long because the ceiling will cave in eventually.
Yesterday: 5-11, May: 157-133, Season: 321-298, Picks of the Day: 25-21

Saturday, May 23, 2015

MLB Game Picks - Saturday: May 23, 2015

It is the first day of Memorial Day Weekend and I woke up early to play golf...and it is snowing. What!? Snowing!? Sheesh.
Anyway, my picks are snowballing too as I went 12-3 yesterday after going 9-3 the day before. I'll take a 21-6 run. The only three incorrect picks were two emotions driven ones. I had the Yankees and they couldn't pitch or field. I had the Cubs and they couldn't hold a lead and I had the Rockies who were beat by the voodoo-driven Giants.
Saturday's picks:
  • The Yankees over the Rangers: I know. The Yankees are terrible lately. I know. But amidst that terrible is CC Sabathia who has been pitching really well. I'm going with him over Nick Martinez. Martinez has been very consistent and decent for the Rangers.
  • The Mariners over the Blue JaysRobinson Cano hits a homer off of Mark Buehrle and James Paxton continues his good pitching of late.
  • The Mets over the PiratesA.J. Burnett has been pitching really well for the Pirates but in this case, I have to go with Matt Harvey. Harvey has simply been outstanding.
  • The Nationals over the Phillies: This pick makes me a bit nervous because picking Stephen Strasburg never works out for me. But he does do better at home and the Nationals are being carried on Bryce Harper's shoulders. Cole Hamels goes for the Phillies.
  • The Tigers over the Astros: The Tigers don't have the offense they had a year ago, but they score enough to win if they get good pitching. Kyle Lobstein has been inconsistent, but I like him in this one over Lance McCullers.
  • The Indians over the Reds: Well, welcome back Mr. Corey Kluber. Where have you been? Judging from Kluber's last performance, picking against him would be stupid. Anthony DeSclafani is going in the wrong direction for the Reds.
  • The Braves over the Brewers: Probably the only thing that could stop the Brewers right now is a very good Shelby MillerMike Fiers would have to match him. I don't know, this is a tough one.
  • The White Sox over the Twins: You didn't expect the Twins to be that good, right? Chris Sale over Trevor May.
  • The Giants over the Rockies: Charlton Chris Heston has been a nice story for the Giants. How will he do at Coors? He faces Jordan Lyles who hasn't been as good as last year. Giants...
  • The Giants over the Rockies: Yeah. I'm going with a sweep. Yusmeiro Petit is a nice swing man for the Giants to have. Meanwhile, the Rockies have to dip and give David Hale a start. Not pretty.
  • The Marlins over the OriolesDan Haren is 2-0 at home in Miami with a 1.80 ERA there. That seems like a good pick even though Mike Wright was outstanding for the Orioles in his debut start.
  • The Angels over the Red Sox: I'm not buying Steven Wright as a starter for the Red Sox. And the Red Sox cannot hit lefties. Though Rusney Castillo might help there. I'm going with the Angels behind C.J. Wilson.
  • The Cardinals over the Royals: It's hard to pick against the Royals these days. And John Lackey versus Edinson Volquez is a tough pick. I'm going to pick the Cardinals. And much to Bob's surprise, I have been fairly accurate with my Cards picks this season.
  • The Diamondbacks over the Cubs: The Diamondbacks are playing well right now and Rubby De La Rosa has been very good. Jake Arrieta gentille Arrieta hasn't been as fine as last year to this point.
  • The Dodgers over the PadresMike Bolsinger has been terrific for the Dodgers. Ian Kennedy is your average fourth starter. He'll keep the Padres in the game. No more, no less.
And the Pick of the Day:
  • The Rays over the Athletics: Shield your eyes. The A's are gruesome right now. And Kendall Graveman has a good name to be pitching for them. Nate Karns or Nathan Karns, whichever B-R wants for it's linker, has been very consistent for the Rays.
Yesterday: 12-3, May: 152-122, Season: 316-287, Picks of the Day: 25-20